Defense consultancy IHS Jane’s says Saudi defense spending will be $48.7bn in 2015, a 2 per cent contraction over last year but will reach $62bn by 2020.
Craig Caffrey, IHS principal defence budget analyst, said “We certainly expect a significant slowdown in the short term but longer term prospects remain strong,” The Financial Times (paywall) reports. “
“The Kingdom has only cut defense and security expenditure once over the last 15 years,” Caffrey said. By 2020, Saudi Arabia will be the fifth-largest spender in the world.
With military spending to increase in the face of dual threats from Yemen to Saudi Arabia’s south, and the self-described Islamic State or Da’esh in Iraq and Syria, the Kingdom will face a growing budget deficit this year. According to the IMF, Saudi Arabia will post a budget deficit equal to 20% of economic output this year.
The IMF said that in the next few years, Saudi Arabia will need “a sizable fiscal policy consolidation,” according to Bloomberg News.